TrueCar.com predicts 2011 sales to hit 12.8 million units

(July 20, 2011) SANTA MONICA (PRNewswire) — Light vehicles sales during the first half of 2011 totaled 6.32 million cars sold, up 12.7 percent from the first half of 2010. TrueCar.com had estimated that light vehicle sales for 2011 would equal 12.8 million units.

TrueCar.com also found several trends during the first half of 2011 vs. first half of 2010.

"The first half of the year was promising until the earthquake in Japan impacted sales of new cars to the Japanese automakers as supply was constrained," said Jesse Toprak, Vice President of Industry Trends and Analysis at TrueCar.com.

    • Most automakers saw double-digit growth compared to the first half of last year. Only Honda (2.3 percent), Mazda (5.8 percent), Subaru (4.8 percent) and Toyota (-4.0 percent) saw either limited growth or a decline in sales from last year.
     • Domestic automakers saw significant growth from the first half of 2010 with the Chrysler Group leading the charge with an increase of 20.4 percent. General Motors increased sales by 17.4 percent while Ford had an increase of 12.2 percent.
    • Hyundai and Kia continued their phenomenal growth with sales increases of 26.2 percent (Hyundai) and 44.1 percent (Kia) respectively.

Manufacturer Sales (January – June)

 

Manufacturer

Sales 2010 (January – June)

Sales 2011 (January – June)

Change 2011 vs. 2010

 

Chrysler Group

527,219

634,988

20.4%

 

Ford

953,146

1,069,736

12.2%

 

GM

1,076,993

1,261,610

17.1%

 

Honda

593,909

607,442

2.3%

 

Hyundai

255,782

322,797

26.2%

 

Kia

170,070

245,104

44.1%

 

Nissan

440,332

504,973

14.7%

 

Toyota

846,542

812,788

-4.0%

 

Industry

5,611,420

6,324,597

12.7%

"With supply problems during the first half, automakers were able to tighten the amount of incentives they put on the hood of vehicles, leading to stronger profit margins for the manufacturers," continued Toprak.

    • The industry average for incentives for the first half of 2011 was $2,432, down 9.4% percent from $2,684 in the first half of 2010.
    • Of the major manufacturers, every automaker but Honda decreased their incentive spend compared to the first half of 2010. Honda's incentives increased from $1,979 to $1,996 per unit sold in the first half of 2011, or up 0.9 percent.
    • Kia (down 40.9 percent), Nissan (23.5 percent) and Hyundai (32.1 percent) saw the largest decline in incentives of the major automakers but the domestics also helped their bottom line with the Chrysler group down 16.1 percent while Ford was down 13.8 percent and GM down 4.9 percent.

   

Incentives Per Unit (January – June)

 

Manufacturer

Incentives 2010 (January – June)

Incentives 2011 (January – June)

Change 2011 vs. 2010

 

Chrysler Group

$3,616

$3,033

-16.1%

 

Ford

$2,961

$2,531

-13.8%

 

GM

$3,452

$3,284

-4.9%

 

Honda

$1,979

$1,996

0.9%

 

Hyundai

$1,689

$1,146

-32.1%

 

Kia

$2,725

$1,612

-40.9%

 

Nissan

$3,103

$2,373

-23.5%

 

Toyota

$1,959

$1,866

-4.7%

 

Industry

$2,684

$2,432

-9.4%

 
 

"Transaction prices rose to the highest ever during a six-month period as incentives decreased and a lack of inventory in specific vehicles due to the Japanese earthquake," continued Toprak.

  • The industry average for average transaction price for the first half of 2011 was $29,482, up 0.7 percent from $29,289 in the first half of 2010.
   

Average Transaction Per Unit (January – June)

 

Manufacturer

Average Transaction Price 2010 (January – June)

Average Transaction Price 2011 (January – June)

Change 2011 vs. 2010

 

Chrysler Group

$                        28,080

$                        28,122

0.2%

 

Ford

$                        34,826

$                        34,452

-1.1%

 

GM

$                        35,371

$                        33,197

-6.2%

 

Honda

$                        24,730

$                        26,081

5.5%

 

Hyundai

$                        22,209

$                        22,936

3.3%

 

Kia

$                        20,221

$                        21,207

4.9%

 

Nissan

$                        28,113

$                        27,384

-2.6%

 

Toyota

$                        26,332

$                        28,343

7.6%

 

Industry

$                        29,289

$                        29,482

0.7%

"Large SUV and truck sales were lower than the industry average during the first half of the year as high gas prices impacted what consumers purchased from January through June," continued Toprak.

   

Segment Sales/Average Transaction Price (January – June)

 

Segment

Segment Sales 2010 (January – June)

Segment Sales 2011  (January – June)

Change 2011 vs. 2010

Average Transaction Price 2010 (January – June)

Average Transaction Price 2011 (January – June)

Change 2011 vs. 2010

 

Subcompact

172,196

239,278

39.0%

$16,304

$16,644

2.1%

 

Small SUV

286,330

377,473

31.8%

$23,947

$24,111

0.7%

 

Sport Car

169,098

218,789

29.4%

$29,597

$29,772

0.6%

 

Midsize SUV

815,893

967,596

18.6%

$28,089

$29,707

5.8%

 

Small Car

928,916

1,073,852

15.6%

$18,958

$19,536

3.0%

 

Large Truck

621,734

688,989

10.8%

$32,795

$34,499

5.2%

 

Large SUV

217,772

239,168

9.8%

$40,404

$40,086

-0.8%

 

Midsize Car

985,141

1,075,530

9.2%

$24,342

$24,232

-0.5%

 

Large Car

287,998

289,937

0.7%

$30,267

$30,170

-0.3%