TrueCar predicts highest May sales since 2007
(May 25, 2012) SANTA MONICA, Calif. — TrueCar.comhas released its May 2012 sales and incentives forecast predicting new car sales in May to be highest since 2007. The May forecast shows the following:
• New light vehicle sales in the U.S. (including fleet) is expected to be 1,400,665 units, up 32 percent from May 2011 and up 18.3 percent from April 2012 (on an unadjusted basis)
• The May 2012 forecast translates into a Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) of 14.5 million new car sales, up from 11.7 million in May 2011 and flat from 14.5 million in April 2012
• Retail sales are up 29.4 percent compared to May 2011 and up 21.1 percent from April 2012
• Fleet and rental sales are expected to make up 21.0 percent of total industry sales in May 2012
• The industry average incentive spending per unit will be approximately $2,392 in May 2012, which represents an increase of 4.0 percent from May 2011 and decrease of 2.0 percent from April 2012
• Used car sale* are estimated to be 4,387,554, up 6.3 percent from May 2011 and up 15.7 percent from April 2012. The ratio of new to used is estimated to be 1:3 for May 2012
"Pent up demand continues to fuel auto sales at a steady and sustainable level in May" said Jesse Toprak, Vice President of Market Intelligence for TrueCar.com. "All major manufacturers will see double digit growth this month; Toyota's recovery stemming from the natural disasters has happened at a breakneck pace and sales this month for Toyota will be the highest we have seen in a few years led by strong sales of the Camry and Prius along with strong sales from GM, which will be the highest since September 2008.
Forecasts for the top eight manufacturers for May 2012:
Unit Sales |
|||
Manufacturer |
May 2012 Forecast |
% Change vs. April 2012 |
% Change vs. May 2011 |
Chrysler |
153,309 |
8.6% |
32.9% |
Ford |
211,689 |
17.8% |
10.5% |
GM |
258,072 |
20.9% |
16.7% |
Honda |
146,305 |
19.9% |
61.2% |
Hyundai/Kia |
130,949 |
19.2% |
21.9% |
Nissan |
104,312 |
46.2% |
37.0% |
Toyota |
206,808 |
16.2% |
90.8% |
Volkswagen |
53,356 |
8.8% |
31.6% |
Industry |
1,400,665 |
18.3% |
32.0% |
Market Share |
|||
Manufacturer |
May 2012 Forecast |
Apr-12 |
May-11 |
Chrysler |
10.9% |
11.9% |
10.9% |
Ford |
15.1% |
15.2% |
18.1% |
GM |
18.4% |
18.0% |
20.9% |
Honda |
10.4% |
10.3% |
8.6% |
Hyundai/Kia |
9.3% |
9.3% |
10.1% |
Nissan |
7.4% |
6.0% |
7.2% |
Toyota |
14.8% |
15.0% |
10.2% |
Volkswagen |
3.8% |
4.1% |
3.8% |
Incentive Spending |
||||
Manufacturer |
May 2012 Incentives |
% Change vs. April 2012 |
% Change vs. May 2011 |
Total Spending |
Chrysler |
$3,104 |
-3.4% |
5.0% |
$475,910,309 |
Ford |
$2,637 |
7.1% |
8.4% |
$558,279,288 |
GM |
$2,973 |
-6.0% |
-3.6% |
$767,331,629 |
Honda |
$2,281 |
-8.2% |
50.8% |
$333,731,752 |
Hyundai/Kia |
$1,201 |
-4.9% |
-20.5% |
$157,315,638 |
Nissan |
$2,474 |
1.5% |
10.1% |
$258,093,982 |
Toyota |
$1,685 |
-0.7% |
22.2% |
$348,472,382 |
Volkswagen |
$2,438 |
-3.5% |
20.7% |
$130,087,770 |
Industry |
$2,392 |
-2.0% |
4.0% |
$3,350,645,891 |