TrueCar predicts highest May sales since 2007

(May 25, 2012) SANTA MONICA, Calif. — TrueCar.comhas released its May 2012 sales and incentives forecast predicting new car sales in May to be highest since 2007.  The May forecast shows the following:

   • New light vehicle sales in the U.S. (including fleet) is expected to be 1,400,665 units, up 32 percent from May 2011 and up 18.3 percent from April 2012 (on an unadjusted basis)

    • The May 2012 forecast translates into a Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) of 14.5 million new car sales, up from 11.7 million in May 2011 and flat from 14.5 million in April 2012

    • Retail sales are up 29.4 percent compared to May 2011 and up 21.1 percent from April 2012

    • Fleet and rental sales are expected to make up 21.0 percent of total industry sales in May 2012

    • The industry average incentive spending per unit will be approximately $2,392 in May 2012, which represents an increase of 4.0 percent from May 2011 and decrease of 2.0 percent from April 2012

    • Used car sale* are estimated to be 4,387,554, up 6.3 percent from May 2011 and up 15.7 percent from April 2012.  The ratio of new to used is estimated to be 1:3 for May 2012

"Pent up demand continues to fuel auto sales at a steady and sustainable level in May" said Jesse Toprak, Vice President of Market Intelligence for TrueCar.com. "All major manufacturers will see double digit growth this month; Toyota's recovery stemming from the natural disasters has happened at a breakneck pace and sales this month for Toyota will be the highest we have seen in a few years led by strong sales of the Camry and Prius along with strong sales from GM, which will be the highest since September 2008.

Forecasts for the top eight manufacturers for May 2012:

Unit Sales

Manufacturer

May 2012 Forecast

% Change vs. April 2012

% Change vs. May 2011

Chrysler

153,309

8.6%

32.9%

Ford

211,689

17.8%

10.5%

GM

258,072

20.9%

16.7%

Honda

146,305

19.9%

61.2%

Hyundai/Kia

130,949

19.2%

21.9%

Nissan

104,312

46.2%

37.0%

Toyota

206,808

16.2%

90.8%

Volkswagen

53,356

8.8%

31.6%

Industry

1,400,665

18.3%

32.0%

 

Market Share

Manufacturer

May 2012 Forecast

Apr-12

May-11

Chrysler

10.9%

11.9%

10.9%

Ford

15.1%

15.2%

18.1%

GM

18.4%

18.0%

20.9%

Honda

10.4%

10.3%

8.6%

Hyundai/Kia

9.3%

9.3%

10.1%

Nissan

7.4%

6.0%

7.2%

Toyota

14.8%

15.0%

10.2%

Volkswagen

3.8%

4.1%

3.8%

 

Incentive Spending

Manufacturer

May 2012

Incentives

% Change vs. April 2012

% Change vs. May 2011

Total Spending

Chrysler

$3,104

-3.4%

5.0%

$475,910,309

Ford

$2,637

7.1%

8.4%

$558,279,288

GM

$2,973

-6.0%

-3.6%

$767,331,629

Honda

$2,281

-8.2%

50.8%

$333,731,752

Hyundai/Kia

$1,201

-4.9%

-20.5%

$157,315,638

Nissan

$2,474

1.5%

10.1%

$258,093,982

Toyota

$1,685

-0.7%

22.2%

$348,472,382

Volkswagen

$2,438

-3.5%

20.7%

$130,087,770

Industry

$2,392

-2.0%

4.0%

$3,350,645,891