Expert advice — Used car shoppers should buy sooner rather than later

(January 17, 2012) IRVINE, Calif. — Kelley Blue Book www.kbb.com today reported that buyers in the market for a used car should purchase sooner rather than later, as Kelley Blue Book anticipates used-car values to increase 3 to 5 percent in the first quarter of 2012, with gains continuing into the second quarter.

Values have been flat through the first two weeks of January; although, a handful of segments have started to increase earlier than originally anticipated. 


Non-luxury cars and crossovers increased between $50 and $100 in the past week alone, and they will likely continue to rise in the weeks and months ahead.  A lull in lease returns and an aging fleet of vehicles on the road are expected to keep prices high through most of this year; potentially higher than the record levels established in 2011. 

Used-Car Values Show First Signs of Strength (MY09-11)

 

 

Trade-In Value

Change

Segment

1/6/2012

1/13/2012

$

%

Mid-Size Car

$12,096

$12,203

$107

0.9%

Hybrid Car

$14,335

$14,422

$86

0.6%

Full-Size Car

$15,756

$15,841

$85

0.5%

Compact Crossover

$14,863

$14,941

$78

0.5%

Compact Car

$10,235

$10,296

$61

0.6%

Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insigh

"Consumers eyeing one of the many highly acclaimed redesigned 2011 model-year vehicles for their next used car should be prepared to pay a significant premium," said Alec Gutierrez, senior market analyst of automotive insights for Kelley Blue Book. "For example, the 2011 Chevrolet Cruze and Kia Optima currently maintain a premium higher than 40 percent versus the 2010 model-year counterpart, significantly outperforming the Honda Accord and Toyota Corolla, which weren't redesigned for model-year 2011."

 

Trade-In Value

 

Note

Model

MY2011

MY2010

Premium

Redesigned for 2011

Chevrolet Cruze/Cobalt

$13,400

$9,100

47.3%

No Redesign

Toyota Corolla

$12,225

$10,575

15.6%

Redesigned for 2011

Kia Optima

$15,700

$10,350

51.7%

No Redesign

Honda Accord

$15,450

$14,113

9.5%

 This type of premium is typical for vehicles that have recently undergone a major redesign, especially when the outgoing generation was an underperformer in its segment.  No matter what vehicle a shopper may have in mind, higher prices are the reality of today's market and used vehicles will only become more expensive and difficult to come by as time goes on.